Wednesday, October 2, 2019

Gambling With Sanity Week 4


Alright, so I went 4-9-1 last week which means you should never listen to me ever again about anything. Those VegasInsider dot com dudes take no mercy which means I am about to find eternity in a shallow desert grave next to Jon Gruden and whoever joins me with their own Failure Demons here in hell. Fuck it, let’s just get to this week’s picks.

LA Rams (-1.5) at Seattle

The Rams just gave up 55 to Tampa Bay, so choose at your own peril here. They still have Jared Goff and Todd Gurley and they still have a trio of receivers who will put up big numbers here, so it’s easy to just roll with them, but you can’t overlook the Seahawks either, who roll with an even better Russell Wilson along with Tyler Lockett, Chris Carson and whoever else shows up with Bobby Wagner waiting to run Todd Gurley into the ground. I guess I’d say stick with the Rams, but this is not an easy one for sure, and it’s easy to see Wilson and Wagner along with the Seahawks nasty home crowd pulling this one out for them. In the end, I’d say roll with the Seahawks.

Pick: Seattle


Baltimore (-3) at Pittsburgh

No Ben Roethlisberger for the Steelers who aren’t about to slow down Lamar Jackson and the Ravens who roll in averaging over 6 yards per carry, with Jackson leading the way at 6.6 yards per carry. But Mark Ingram is right there with him and with the Steelers backs only rocking around 3 yards per carry it’s hard to go with the Steelers. Big Ben ain’t about to rescue them and from there it’s easy to see Jackson and Ingram and the boys just running it down their throats. Easy call here.

Pick: Baltimore


Chicago (-6) at Oakland

Only a great fool would roll with the Raiders, especially since they have one foot in their Vegas desert grave already. The Bears are second in the league in point allowed while the Raiders are nowhere near that offensively or defensively. Look for Khalil Mack to eat his old team alive while Jon Gruden sues for a peace that he won’t find until he is laying in that Vegas grave of his own digging, Chuck Pagano has the Bears defense rolling and they look like gravediggers to me while the Raiders lie there waiting to be filled in. Another easy call.

Pick: Chicago


Arizona (+4) at Cincinnati

Both of these teams are of shit so go with whatever here. The Bengals have both one of the worst offenses and defenses in the league while the Cardinals are flailing behind Kyler Murray who is running the ball great at 6.3 yards per carry but he’s given them nothing else and it’s hard to see the Cardinals pulling this one out. Part of me wants to roll with the Cardinals behind Murray’s legs but I’m truly ambivalent here. I can’t go with the Bengals so in the end I say stick with the Cardinals but don’t feel good about it or anything.

Pick: Arizona


Jacksonville (+3) at Carolina

Pick: Carolina


Minnesota (-5.5) at NY Giants

I don’t want to roll with Kirk Cousins and I love Jabrill Peppers back there just waiting to pick six him like he did last week against Washington. I’d say go with the Giants but are you really gonna trust Daniel Jones’ virgin ass? I say no, but at the same time I’m loathe to ever roll with Kirk Cousins. So, I don’t know, dudes and lady dudes. I’d say go with the Vikings but don’t feel good about it or anything.

Pick: Minnesota


New England (-13) at Washington

This is a huge spread to cover and it’s hard to see anyone pulling it off, but I trust in Tom Brady who will come through here while Gisele berates the help and splats all over them like a blue dress leaving them sticky and running into our shared history while she smile coldly and makes Thomas bury them along with some Filipino boys in their backyard. Stick with Tom and Gisele and the Patriots here especially because you don’t ever want to have witness Bill digging up a Filipino boy while Hillary shakes that blue dress at him and he weeps for forgiveness.

Pick: New England


NY Jets (+13) at Philadelphia

The Jets quarterback situation is pretty much a dumpster fire so it’s easy to roll with Dennis, Charlie, Mac and the boys here. Look for Carson Wentz to continue to bomb that dumpster fire while the Jets shrivel helplessly with their near league worst defense. This is an ugly game between ugly teams with even uglier fans but fuck it, it’s not like the Jets are about to do anything about it. I mean they have one damn passing touchdown this season. That ain’t good kids, which means roll with the Eagles all day here and hope Frank and Dee don’t show up to make a real mess of things.

Pick: Philadelphia


Tampa Bay (+6.5) at New Orleans

Drew Brees is still out for the Saints and Tampa Bay is fresh off putting up 55 on the Rams, so I’d say go with the Buccaneers here. The Saints are hanging in with Teddy Bridgewater playing for Brees so don’t be so quick to anoint the Bucs here. The Saints are 3-1 for a reason and for some reason I don’t see Jameis Winston being the dude to make that reason make any sort of sense here. So . . . yeah, go with the Saints here? Sure, why not. At least that means you don’t have to roll with Jameis Winston and his crab leg stealing ass.

Pick: New Orleans


Atlanta (+4.5) at Houston

Houston still has JJ Watt and DeShaun Freeman while the Falcons don’t appear to have much of anything beyond Julio Jones, so I say stick with the Texans here behind their top 10 defense. The Falcons meanwhile are in the bottom third of the league both offensively and defensively so fuck them. Go with the Texans and don’t look back.

Pick: Houston


Buffalo (+1) at Tennessee

The Bills are a surprising 3-1 behind a top 5 defense, so rolling with them is definitely the smart choice, but we are all about poor choices here at Armchair Linebacker dot com although that isn’t even the address anymore so ignore this shit. Tennessee? Also has a top 5 defense so maybe this isn’t a poor choice after all. I say go with the Titans but don’t, like, feel good about it or anything. That is all I have for you here.

Pick: Tennessee


Denver (+6.5) at LA Chargers

Denver is 0-4 with a team that ranks in the bottom half of the league both offensively and defensively while the Chargers are a bit better at 2-2 and with an offense and defense that ranks in the top half in the league. So go with the Chargers here and feel pretty good about it. After all, nobody wants to roll with Joe Flacco on the road, do they? Meanwhile Phillip Rivers is putting up some good numbers for the Chargers so, yeah, easy call here, dudes and lady dudes

Pick: Chargers


Green Bay (+4) at Dallas

Never go against the devil, especially when he has a top 10 defense backing him up. But Dallas has a top 10 offense and a top 5 defense to counter the devil’s many charms and Failure Demons. Plus they have Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott running wild this season so maybe the devil won’t have his day after all. This is a tough call, but in the end I say go with the Cowboys behind Prescott and Easy E and say your prayers against the devil.

Pick: Dallas


Indianapolis (+8.5) at Kansas City

The Colts are hanging in there behind Frank Reich’s coaching and the Chiefs are still without Tyreek Hill, but Andy Reid’s boys still have the league’s number one ranked offense behind Patrick Mahomes golden gun of an arm. Mahomes has 10 TDs against 0 INTs so this looks like an easy Chiefs call, right? Right. Jacoby Brissett is actually matching Mahomes TD for TD though so maybe this one is not so easy a call after all. I say stick with the Chiefs but this one may end up being closer than you’d think. I’m tempted to go with the Colts here but in the end the Chiefs are the move, dudes and lady dudes.

Pick: Kansas City


Cleveland (+4) at San Francisco

Baker Mayfield has managed to get his game going good again, but really it’s been all about Nick Chubb for Dan’s boys this season as he’s run along at a 5.2 yards per carry clip so far. Meanwhile, the 49ers are improbably undefeated with a top 5 offense with twin backs averaging over 5 yards per carry and a top 10 defense that has put the clamps on the Bucs, Bengals and Steelers in the early going. I really like Mayfield as I have made a lot of noise about already and no less a visionary than Stone Cold Steve Austin has talked Mayfield up this year so I am going to roll with Mayfield and the Browns who will be helped by Jarvis Landry and Odell Beckham who are both on pace for over 1200 yards receiving this season. Roll Browns and maybe Dan will come along at some point this season to say some words here at Armchair Linebacker. I certainly want him to add some international flavor to this dumb blog and I await his Browns gibberish with glee.

Pick: Cleveland









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